How’d We Do With Our Predictions?

Just how wrong were we?

Every year, everyone who follows basketball, whether they do it for a living, or write lousy blogs about it during their spare time, tries to predict just what the hell is going to happen in the upcoming season. We here at The Bonus are no different. All the way back in October, we posted a preview for both the Eastern and Western Conference. Now it’s time to look back and see just how full of shit we actually are. However, before we do so, I’d just like to acknowledge what a great season this was. I can remember back in the Fall people lamenting that the regular season would be long and boring while we just waited for the ultimate conclusion: another Cavs/Warriors Finals. Happily, this regular season ended up being awesome. It seemed that every night, something wild was happening. We’ve seen new chapters added to the annals of NBA History, and there was nary a week where there wasn’t something to debate, appreciate, or have a good chuckle at. With the current state of the world, it might be debatable whether or not it’s a good time to be alive, but nobody could contest that it’s certainly a good time to be following the NBA.

Now, without further ado, let’s look back at those preseason predictions of ours and take credit, laugh, or hang our heads in shame depending on what we find…

Atlanta Hawks
Prediction: 41-41, 8th in East
Real Life: 43-39, 5th in East
Quote from Preview: Say what you will about Dwight Howard, and I certainly will from time to time, he’s still a guaranteed double-double every night, and perhaps his escape from Houston to his hometown of Atlanta will revitalize his career a little bit.

We’re not off to a bad start! Dwight Howard actually managed to fly under the radar for most of the season, and averaged a double-double (13.5 points, 12.7 rebounds). He’s not the player he once was, but, just about every team in the league would take that from their center. The Hawks were up and down all year, and at one point, they were 31-22. Injuries contributed to a rough time down the stretch, which included a seven game losing streak, and at one point midway though the season, it seemed like they were ready to blow things up and trade everybody. However, they only traded Kyle Korver, and rebounded towards the end of the year, winning six of their last nine games to give them some momentum heading into the postseason.

Prediction Status: I still feel okay about it.

Boston Celtics
Prediction: 54-28, 2nd in East
Real Life: 53-29, 1st in East
Quote from Preview: Being a Celtics fan myself, I should probably be disqualified from writing this section, but, this is my blog, and I make the rules.

That quote still holds up, but even I didn’t expect the C’s to finish with the best record in the Eastern Conference. Sure, they can still be a frustrating bunch, and they struggle against the other great teams in their conference, but what a great season. Isaiah Thomas really deserves a lot of credit for this. He took his game to a higher level, and as he got better, the whole team got better. Hopefully this carries over into the Playoffs.

Prediction Status: I feel pretty awesome about how this one turned out.

Brooklyn Nets
Prediction: 17-65, 15th in East
Real Life: 20-62, 15th in East
Quote from Preview: The only semblance of hope is a smart new GM in Sean Marks, and a well respected new head coach, Kenny Atkinson.

Well, that smart new GM and well respected head coach actually went ahead and instilled the right attitude in Brooklyn. With nothing really to tank for, thanks to Boston getting to swap draft picks with them, the Nets instead tried to lay the foundation for their culture going forward. It resulted in a team that, while often overmatched, always gave you an honest effort. In fact, I got League Pass midway through the season, and these guys actually became one of my favorite random teams to watch because of it. That’s why it’s so disappointing that they inexplicably decided to rest everyone in the last game of the season, with Playoff implications on the line. It went against everything this team had been building all season long. Nevertheless, if they can nail the draft pick the Celtics swap them and add another useful role player…..well, they’ll still be awful, but they’re heading in the right direction, and they’ve got the right people at the helm.

Prediction Status: I mean, there were fewer predictions easier to make than the Nets finishing with the worst record in the East.

Charlotte Hornets
Prediction: 39-43, 10th in East
Real Life: 36-46, 11th in East
Quote from Preview: …I’m looking at the Hornets roster, and I feel like they might have gotten worse.

They definitely got worse. Last season, they were in the Playoffs with a 48-34 record, but this year, they’re back in the lottery. They actually started the season 8-3 before the bottom fell out, including a stretch in which they lost 12 of 13. Kemba Walker keeps getting better, though, so, it’s not hopeless down in Charlotte.

Prediction Status: Another solid prediction. I feel like I might be pretty good at this…

Chicago Bulls
Prediction: 48-34, 5th in the East
Real Life: 41-41, 8th in the East
Quote from Preview: I talked myself into the Chicago Bulls.

Whoops. After a decent start, this team slogged their way through the season, and at times looked like they were going to sink amidst a tide of turmoil. Rajon Rondo was benched, then resurrected towards the end of the season. Dwyane Wade was feared lost for the season, until his recent return. It seemed like Jimmy Butler would get traded. They did trade Taj Gibson, the heart and soul of their team. At times, this team looked like it hated being around one another. I ignored all of the preseason warning signs, most notably that they had a roster filled with terrible shooting. Yet, somehow, they still snuck into the Playoffs, despite the fact that there were definitely moments in the season where their own fans were openly disdainful of the prospect. This was not the most enjoyable season in Bulls history.

Prediction Status: After a solid start to this article, this Bulls debacle has brought me back down to Earth.

Cleveland Cavaliers
Prediction: 56-26, 1st in the East
Real Life: 51-31, 2nd in the East
Quote from Preview: Sure, they most coast through the regular season…

I think we all underestimated just how much they were willing to coast. Here’s another quote from our preview: If there’s one concern with these guys, it’s depth. They’re one injury to Kyrie Irving or LeBron James away from being catchable in the standings…

That lack of depth did catch up to them, as injuries to JR Smith and Kevin Love hampered them throughout the year. They also spent much of the season just not looking very locked in, a storyline that dominated the second half of the year, as many wondered when, or if, they would be able to flip the switch, like LeBron teams had done in the past. They did seem to, briefly, by smacking down the Celtics in Boston. Then, they followed it up with two strange losses to the Hawks, including one where they were up by 26, losing the top seed in the process. Whether or not any of the red flags this team raised during the regular season will matter remains to be seen, but until it’s proven otherwise, they’re still the team to beat in the East.

Prediction Status: I’m okay with being wrong here, because the Celtics overtook them.

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Dallas Mavericks
Prediction: 36-46, 11th in West
Real Life: 33-49, 11th in West
Quote from Preview: Dirk Nowitzki is always worth watching. Did you know he’s going to pass 30,000 career points this season? That’ll put him with Wilt, Jordan, Kobe, Karl Malone and Kareem as your 30,000 point scorers. Keep watching this legend.

It was rough to see these guys struggle through this season. Who doesn’t like the Mavericks? They stumbled to a 4-17 start, and Dirk missed a good chunk of that stretch with an injury. People started wondering if this would be his last season and getting generally depressed over the state of things in Dallas. Well, these guys rallied and somehow salvaged a fun season out of a 33-49 record. Dirk did indeed reach 30,000 career points, and they briefly appeared in the Western Conference Playoff race. Another highlight was Yogi Ferrel, an undrafted player plucked from the midseason scrap heap, who shined during a ten-day contract, and got himself a multi-year deal out of it. They even had Tony Romo hang out with them on the bench during one of their final games. This was probably the most fun 33-49 season in NBA History.

Prediction Status: I felt lousy about having to make this prediction, and even though it turned out to be fairly accurate, I still feel lousy about it. With Dirk now officially back next season, let’s hope they sneak back into the Playoffs.

Denver Nuggets
Prediction: 35-47, 12th in the West
Real Life: 40-42, 9th in the West
Quote from Preview: They have a potentially killer front court tandem of Jusuf Nurkic and Nikola Jokic.

Well, that didn’t quite turn out as we had hoped. Nurkic and Jokic didn’t exactly mesh well together, and the Nuggets spent much of the early stages of the season tinkering with their lineup. Finally, Jokic emerged as one of the brightest young stars in the league. Unfortunately, by the time it happened, the Nuggets were already in a hole. Once they finally figured out what the hell they were doing, they became quite a fun team, and almost made the Playoffs. In fact, they might have made the Playoffs if they hadn’t traded Nurkic to Portland, their only real competition for the final spot in the West. He thrived there, which made all of this more frustrating. That being said, I’m happy that they finally made up their minds, and made the right decision. Jokic quickly became one of my favorite players to watch, and there’s a lot to be excited about over in Denver.

Prediction Status: They ended up being better than I thought. If only they had figured themselves out a little earlier.

Detroit Pistons
Prediction: 46-36, 6th in the East
Real Life: 37-45, 10th in the East
Quote from Preview: Stan Van Gundy has done a great job building a roster that suits his style and approach to the game, and he’s the kind of coach that will keep these guys on an upward trend.

Stan Van Gundy might actually be the kind of coach whose players get tired of after awhile. To me at least, this team ended up looking like a squad that was tired of their coach. As the frustration mounted, he ended up benching point guard Reggie Jackson, who is a prime candidate for a change of scenery. Van Gundy seems like one of those coaches who eventually wares his players down to the point that they tune him out, and I’m convinced that’s what’s happening here in Detroit, despite the fact that I have no evidence and no inside sources. I’m just some guy with a stupid blog.

Prediction Status: I had high hopes after this team’s noble effort against the Cavs in the Playoffs last year. I am now disappointed and ashamed.

Golden State Warriors
Prediction: 75-7, 1st in the West
Real Life: 67-15, 1st in the West
Quote from Preview: Well, it’s not like they got worse this offseason.

Looks like adding Kevin Durant worked out well for them. Then he got injured, but the Warriors, after working out some initial kinks, ran off 14 straight wins. They enter the postseason looking pretty unbeatable. They’re also the most hated team in the league. No team seems more into themselves as these guys do, and nothing is more obnoxious than watching these guys steamroll their way to yet another blowout. That obnoxiousness is of course rooted in inevitability. These guys are really good, and despite how good they are, they were overshadowed by so many other things this season. It’s a testament to how great this season actually was.

Prediction Status: I was half joking when I predicted that they’d go 75-7….and I was only eight games off.

Houston Rockets
Prediction: 50-32, 4th in the West
Real Life: 55-27, 3rd in the West
Quote from Preview: It’s the perfect setting for James Harden to thrive in, and he might average 30 points a game, and close to 10 assists. Heck, he could even become the first player since Tiny Archibald in 1973 to lead the league in both scoring and assists. You heard it here first.

Harden finished the season averaging 29.1 points and a league leading 11.2 assists. Not quite what I had so boldly predicted, but really damn close. I already thought the Rockets would thrive with Harden assuming point guard duties, and Mike D’Antoni coaching, but they were even better than I thought. They evolved into a team that people think is a legitimate contender. Harden very well could win the MVP. I thought they’d have a killer offense, no defense, and lose in the first round of the Playoffs. Now, I wouldn’t be completely shocked if they made the Finals. Surprised, sure, but completely shocked? No.

Prediction Status: They were even better than I thought they’d be.

Indiana Pacers
Prediction: 50-32, 4th in the East
Real Life: 42-40, 7th in the East
Quote from Preview: Outside of Cleveland, the Pacers might have the East’s best individual superstar (including ‘Melo) in Paul George, and in this conference, that alone could be enough to get you 50 wins.

Well, that’s clearly not enough to get you 50 wins. Him, Jimmy Butler and Giannis Antetokounmpo are three of the best players in the East, and their teams won 42, 41, and 42 games respectively. It’s time we stop thinking that all it takes is one superstar to nab 50 wins in the East. The conference, while still not on the level as its Western counterpart, deserves more credit than that. Anyway, the Pacers had a really stupid season. George was not shy about voicing his frustration at times, and almost got traded at the deadline. The team never established any sort of a rhythm and sort of just meandered through an underwhelming season. Let’s move on.

Prediction Status: Crappy.

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Los Angeles Clippers
Prediction: 60-22, 2nd in the West
Real Life: 51-31, 4th in the West
Quote from Preview: Some teams also just have a certain persona attached to them, and the Clippers might always be “the Clippers” until they can prove otherwise…

Both Chris Paul and Blake Griffin dealt with injuries during an up and down year for the Clippers. It seems like a million years ago, but they started the season 14-2. They also suffered through a six game losing streak, but followed it up with a seven game winning streak. These guys are capable of almost anything, good and bad. A trip to the Conference Finals? Sure, I can see it. Flaming out in the First Round? Wouldn’t surprise me either. This might also be their last ride together, so, whatever they’re about to do in the Playoffs, we should enjoy it while it lasts.

Prediction Status: I clearly forgot to factor in their annual injuries to their two best players.

Los Angeles Lakers
Prediction: 23-59, 15th in the West
Real Life: 26-56, 14th in the West
Quote from Preview: It won’t be pretty, but without the Kobe Bryant Farewell Circus looming over the team, they should be free to grow and improve.

Or tank. Needing to finish in the top three in the lottery to keep their pick, they totally gave up towards the end of the season. They straight up benched their veterans for no reason, other than they might accidentally help them win games. Don’t be surprised if the Basketball Gods punish them with a lottery pick outside of the top three, which would mean they get nothing. Instead of growing and improving, they were just kind of blah and uninspiring.

Prediction Status: Close enough, who cares.

Memphis Grizzlies
Prediction: 44-38, 8th in the West
Real Life: 43-39, 7th in the West
Quote from Preview: Injuries seem to be part of the Chandler Parsons Experience, but in the name of basic basketball decency, can the Basketball Gods please let the rest of the squad make it through the season unscathed?

Well, Chandler Parsons had one of the most useless, depressing seasons ever, and Tony Allen is now injured just in time for the Playoffs. Other than that, these guys are exactly what you’d expect. Grit and grind to the bitter end. I’ve always been a proponent of the Grit and Grind Grizzlies, so I am going to enjoy it while it lasts before it inevitably goes to hell in spectacular fashion.

Prediction Status: Almost nailed it.

Miami Heat
Prediction: 32-50, 13th in the East
Real Life: 41-41, 9th in the East
Quote from Preview: Holy hell.

I didn’t think much of the Heat’s chances coming off an offseason in which the greatest player in their history bolted town. I felt pretty good about this prediction for half of the season, and then they went 30-11 in the second half, and damn near made the Playoffs. They were one of the great stories of the season, and I’d frankly rather be watching them this weekend than the Pacers or Bulls.

Prediction Status: Wrong, but I’m okay with it.

Milwaukee Bucks
Prediction: 34-48, 12th in the East
Real Life: 42-40, 6th in the East
Quote from Preview: They’ll be scrappy, and they’ll always play hard, but I’m not quite sure if I trust them to be a Playoff contender quite yet.

In my defense, before the season started, it looked as though Khris Middleton would be out for the year. Instead, he came back to play in 29 games, in which the team went 19-10. Sadly, he came back just when Jabari Parker was lost for the year for the second time in his three seasons. Pray to the basketball gods for this team’s health next year, because they are scrappy, they do always play hard, and they should be a Playoff contender. Giannis Antetokounmpo blossomed into a real superstar, and rookie Malcolm Brogdon, drafted out of the second round, played like a savvy veteran. There’s lots to like with this group.

Prediction Status: Wrong, but once again, I’m okay with it.

Minnesota Timberwolves
Prediction: 40-42, 9th in the West
Real Life: 31-51, 13th in the West
Quote from Preview: I imagine they’ll lose a lot of close games and it’ll end up being the difference between a Playoff appearance and another lottery appearance.

Well, they certainly lost a lot of close games. They’re still learning how to win, but they provided a lot of excitement, even as they continued coughing up close games. Karl-Anthony Towns and Andrew Wiggins remain two of the most exciting young players, and they’ll have yet another lottery pick joining the squad next year, though, it does seem like they may have whiffed on this year’s rookie, Kris Dunn. They’ll enter next season with the same buzz and excitement, but at some point, these youngsters are going to have to turn the corner and figure out how to actually win some of these games.

Prediction Status: Definitely jumped the gun on these guys.

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New Orleans Pelicans
Prediction: 39-43, 10th in the West
Real Life: 34-48, 10th in the West
Quote from Preview: Come on, Basketball Gods, can we get 75 games from Anthony Davis this year?

Anthony Davis played in exactly 75 games this season. See? The Basketball Gods are real. The Pelicans made the biggest trade of the season, netting DeMarcus Cousins from the Kings. By the time he got there, the Playoffs were already unlikely, and they still don’t have much of a supporting cast. An important offseason looms. Can they bolster their roster and build a real contender with their admittedly intriguing big man pairing of Davis and Cousins?

Prediction Status: I think we can all just be happy that we got a healthy season out of Anthony Davis.

New York Knicks
Prediction: 40-42, 9th in the East
Real Life: 31-51, 12th in the East
Quote from Preview: This being New York and all, expectations are exceptionally high, and this being the Knicks, I have a feeling they’re going to barely miss the Playoffs, angering everybody. At least they won’t be boring.

Oh, they angered everybody. Instead of “barely missing the Playoffs” they decided to go with a much more direct “not even coming close to making the Playoffs” approach. It seems like a lifetime ago, but these guys actually started the season 16-13, but all hell eventually broke loose. Derrick Rose had a strange season, going AWOL by disappearing from the team for a day without telling everyone, eventually succumbing to yet another knee injury late in the season. Team President Phil Jackson seemed like he spent the year going out of his way to purposely antagonize Carmelo Anthony, who may have played his final games as a Knick. Jackson also continues to push the Triangle Offense, despite the fact that everyone hates it. At least they weren’t boring, but at this point, Knicks fans might take a boring season over the ongoing mess that their team has become.

Prediction Status: I should have known better.

Oklahoma City Thunder
Prediction: 47-35, 6th in the West
Real Life: 47-35, 6th in the West
Quote from Preview: 
Russell Westbrook in full on angry vengeance mode. He’s going to win several games by himself, average 30 points and rack up an unholy amount of triple-doubles. He should be an MVP candidate.

I mean, what else is there to say than that?

Prediction Status: NAILED IT!

Orlando Magic
Prediction: 37-45, 11th in East
Real Life: 29-53, 13th in East
Quote from Preview: They’re one player away from being an intriguing Playoff team, but in the meantime, a solid foundation is forming in Orlando.

There’s nothing quite like my Orlando Magic prediction to deflate my ego from my Oklahoma City Thunder prediction. What the hell was I thinking with this one? It didn’t help that they spent more time messing around with their lineup than the Nuggets did. Eventually, they gave up on the thought of being able to convince Serge Ibaka to resign there, so they traded him. Then, they had the embarrassing experience of having a whiteboard full of their potential offseason plans leaked in a photo of some random player they signed late in the season. The first thing they did once the season ended was fire their GM. Other than that, it was a pretty solid season for the Orlando Magic.

Prediction Status: The only thing more embarrassing than the Orlando Magic themselves is this prediction.

Philadelphia 76ers
Prediction: 25-57, 14th in the East
Real Life: 28-54, 14th in the East
Quote from Preview: They’re getting pretty crowded up front, with Embiid, Jahill Okafor and Nerlens Noel, so expect one of these guys (probably Noel) to get traded.

Told you Nerlens Noel was going to get traded. Anyway, it was just about as fun as a 28-54 season can possibly be for the Sixers. Joel Embiid, despite playing only 31 games, still made quite an impact, and established himself as a real NBA character. They still need to figure out what to do with Okafor, and of course, Ben Simmons, the number one pick in the draft, missed the entire season with an injury. Nevertheless, this team finally seems to be trending upwards, and of course, they’ll have another lottery pick to use on this year’s exciting young player with the most injury concerns.

Prediction Status: I am surprised, and happy to report that the Sixers were slightly better than I expected.

Phoenix Suns
Prediction: 30-52, 13th in the West
Real Life: 24-58, 15th in the West
Quote from Preview: The Suns are one of those teams caught between needing to rebuild with youngsters, and the desire to make the Playoffs.

I think it’s safe to say that they decided on “needing to rebuild with youngsters”. Of all the teams tanking this year, the Suns were perhaps the most egregious, benching Eric Bledsoe and Tyson Chandler despite them being fully able to play. I honestly don’t know if Brandon Knight was similarly benched, is actually injured, or just finally had enough, wandered into the desert and hasn’t been seen or heard from since. I hate what they did. Bledsoe was having a great season, and his reward is to have to sit for the last third of the season because his team is actively trying to lose. Time in the NBA is precious, and a good chunk of Bledsoe’s was wasted this year. He’s still young and in his prime, and if I were him, I’d be extremely bitter about this. Everyone complains when a star rests for one nationally televised game, but we have teams like this and the Lakers just benching healthy guys for entire portions of the season, and people seem less angry about it. Just a garbage season all around in Phoenix (and Los Angeles). Both of these teams can go to hell.

Oh, and, Devin Booker scored 70 points in one game.

Prediction Status: Thinking about this team makes me angry.

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Portland Trail Blazers
Prediction: 46-36, 7th in the West
Real Life: 41-41, 8th in the West
Quote from Preview: They proved to be a scrappy team that played well together, and that shouldn’t change this season.

These guys almost messed around and missed the postseason. At one point, they were 24-35, and even the goddamn Sacramento Kings spent a little time ahead of them in the standings. However, they got their act together, and made a great trade, acquiring Jusuf Nurkic from the Nuggets. Turned out he’s a pretty great center as well. He helped spark Portland’s rally towards the end of the season, then promptly got injured, and his status is in question for the start of the Playoffs. Nevertheless, he was a key part in their return to the Playoffs, which had fallen into serious jeopardy. Their backcourt of Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum isn’t half bad either.

Prediction Status: I think we all expected more from these guys, but the way they ended their season reminded us all of why we liked them in the first place.

Sacramento Kings
Prediction: 27-55, 14th in the West
Real Life: 32-50, 12th in the West
Quote from Preview: This might finally be the season where star DeMarcus Cousins either loses his mind, or gets traded. Or both.

He got traded! The Kings had another tough time this year. They said they weren’t trading Cousins, then within weeks, they did exactly that. It’s quite apparent that the people running the team don’t often know what they’re doing. The future is murky for them. Having little in the way of talent combined with a front office that is the laughingstock of the league doesn’t make for a very hopeful future. At least they have a nice new stadium.

Prediction Status: Even though they did better than I predicted, it somehow feels like they did worse.

San Antonio Spurs
Prediction: 55-27, 3rd in the West
Real Life: 61-21, 2nd in the West
Quote from Preview: …Kawhi Leonard’s continued growth into one of the league’s best players should be enough to excite any basketball fan. He could be in the running to win MVP and Defensive Player of the Year.

The NBA’s Ol’ Reliable, the San Antonio Spurs. Once again, they went out there, did their thing, and won their 55-65 games. Even without Tim Duncan, and with Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili aging, Kawhi Leonard just keeps getting better and better. He is indeed in the running for MVP and Defensive Player of the Year. They also had their usual cast of players nobody’s ever heard making big contributions. I don’t know about you, but I’m already looking forward to Davis Bertans winning them a Playoff game with a big three pointer.

Prediction Status: I think penciling these guys in for 55-27 until the end of time is the right thing to do.

Toronto Raptors
Prediction: 53-29, 3rd in the East
Real Life: 51-31, 3rd in the East
Quote from Preview: They’ve proved that they’re one of the best teams in the conference…

During the season, they addressed their biggest need by finally swinging a deal for a power forward. They brought in Serge Ibaka, and while they were at it, also added PJ Tucker to bolster their defense. They stayed afloat during an injury to Kyle Lowry, thanks to DeMar DeRozan’s brilliant season. Last year, they made their first Conference Finals, and they could very well make a return trip, though their fans are constantly on edge, for fear that they might revert to their disappointing Playoff performances of the past.

Prediction Status: Just about right.

Utah Jazz
Prediction: 48-34, 5th in the West
Real Life: 51-31, 5th in the West
Quote from Preview: Plenty of folks are planning on 50 wins from this Jazz team that’s on the rise.

I should have listened to those folks. Injury issues at the beginning of the season scared me off from predicting 50 wins for this team, and while those injury issues plagued the team all season long, they persevered with a really great season. Who knows what could have been if they were completely healthy. Anyway, it’s exciting to have the Jazz good again, isn’t it?

Prediction Status: At least I got their seed right.

Washington Wizards
Prediction: 44-38, 7th in the East
Real Life: 49-33, 4th in the East
Quote from Preview: As we pray to the Basketball Gods for Anthony Davis’ health, let’s say a prayer or two for Beal’s as well. Be merciful, Basketball Gods.

Beal played in 77 games and had his greatest season. Thank you, Basketball Gods. Praise unto them. The Wizards actually started the season 3-9 before really blossoming into the team we’d all hope they’d be. From then on, they proved to be a formidable and feisty foe, and even developed a little rivalry with my Celtics. They even bolstered their bench a little bit during the season, which was their biggest weakness. Bojan Bogdanovic and Brandon Jennings came aboard to provide extra shooting and relief to an excellent starting five. It’ll be good to see this squad back in the Playoffs.

Prediction Status: Better than I thought.

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Well, that does it. I think we did a fairly decent job with our preseason predictions. Only the wretched Orlando Magic prediction stands out as outwardly embarrassing, although my Bulls prediction was clearly questionable. Irregardless, what a fun regular season it was. Truly one for the record books. Let’s hope, and pray to our friends, the wise Basketball Gods, that the Playoffs are just as memorable.

 

DeMarcus Cousins Heads To New Orleans

The Kings finally decide to move on from DeMarcus Cousins

After years of rumors and speculation, the Sacramento Kings have agreed to trade DeMarcus Cousins, ending his tumultuous tenure with the franchise. The agreed upon deal sends him to the New Orleans Pelicans, and looks like this…

Pelicans get

DeMarcus Cousins (27.8 points per game, 10.7 rebounds, 4.9 assists, 34.4 minutes)
Omri Casspi (5.9 points, 4.1 rebounds, 1.2 assists, 18.0 minutes)

Kings get

Buddy Hield (8.6 points, 2.9 rebounds, 1.4 assists, 20.4 minutes)
Tyreke Evans (9.5 points, 3.3 rebounds, 3.5 assists, 18.2 minutes)
Langston Galloway (8.6 points, 2.2 rebounds, 1.2 assists, 20.4 minutes)
A 2017 First Round Pick (Top 3 Protected) & A 2017 Second Round Pick

Obviously this is a lot to process. The Pelicans have been trying to find a good center to team up with Anthony Davis, and instead, they went and got the best center. A Davis/Cousins front court combo is the stuff that basketball fans everywhere dream about, and it’s rare that we actually get to see something like this come to fruition. On top of that, they didn’t really have to give up that much to get Cousins. This is an exciting victory for New Orleans, who at 23-34, are 2.5 games behind the Denver Nuggets for the last Playoff spot in the West.

On the other end of the spectrum, the Kings have hit the self-destruct button, not long after claiming they were committed to keeping Cousins. In fact, Kings GM Vlade Divac told ESPN, “We’re not trading DeMarcus. We hope he’s here for a long time.” Now, here we are. The Kings (24-33) are only 1.5 games out of the West’s 8th seed, but they’ve decided that Cousins is not worth all of the trouble. It’s a fairly shocking switch for a team that seemed determined to make the Playoffs in the first year of their new arena. Now they’ll be rebuilding their franchise from the ground up, hoping the draft pick they get from New Orleans turns into something good. The trade also goes towards ensuring that they keep their own draft pick, which is top-10 protected. As it stands now, they’re just close enough to making the Playoffs where that pick could fall out of the top-10, in which case, they’d have to send it to the Bulls. This trade is about starting over, and moving on from one of the most talented players the Kings have ever had, who despite his incredible skills, has never once guided the Kings to the Playoffs, and is known as much for his feats on the court as he is his sour attitude.

The only problem with deciding to move on and rebuild is that the Kings haven’t shown that they’re competent enough to be trusted to make the right moves to improve their team. When the Celtics decided to rebuild and trade Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett, it was upsetting, but Boston fans could take solace in the fact that their team is run by someone who generally seems to know what they’re doing. Kings fans, on the other hand, might need a drink right now. The prospect of having two draft picks in what’s expected to be a very deep draft is much less exciting when your team’s front office has spent the last few years wasting top-10 draft picks. In fact, let’s take a look at some Sacramento Kings recent history…

2009 – Drafted Tyreke Evans with the 4th pick. While he did win Rookie of the Year, they passed up on Steph Curry and DeMar DeRozan. Evans’ best season remains his rookie year, and now he’s returning to Sacramento in this very trade, working his way back from a serious injury.

2010 – Drafted DeMarcus Cousins with the 5th pick, perhaps the last time this franchise has made a good decision.

2011 – Drafted Bismack Biyombo with the 7th pick, then traded him to Charlotte as part of a three team trade, which got them Jimmer Fredette and John Salmons, when instead, they could have just drafted Kemba Walker, Klay Thompson, Kawhi Leonard or Jimmy Butler.

2012 – Drafted Thomas Robinson with the 5th pick, ahead of Damian Lillard, Harrison Barnes, Jae Crowder, Draymond Green and Khris Middleton. To be fair, those last three guys were all drafted in the Second Round, so everybody passed up on them, although, they didn’t pass up on them for Thomas Robinson, who was traded during his rookie season for Cole Aldrich, Toney Douglas and Patrick Patterson, and has now played for six teams in five seasons.

2013 – Drafted Ben McLemore with the 7th pick. He’s still on the Kings, but he hasn’t exactly lit the world on fire in the same way that C.J. McCollum and Giannis Antetokounmpo have, both of whom were picked after McLemore, as were Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Michael Carter-Williams and Dennis Schroder.

2014 – Drafted Nik Stauskas with the 8th pick, ahead of the likes of Dario Saric, Zach Levine and Rodney Hood, as well as Jusuf Nurkic and Nikola Jokic, though, with DeMarcus Cousins on the team, you can’t blame them for not picking a center. Anyway, after one season, they traded Stauskas to the 76ers for Arturas Gudaitis, Luka Mitrovic and the rights to swap picks in 2016 or 2017, which might seem like a good move, but as we’ve seen here, the Kings don’t exactly draft well.

2015 – Drafted Willie Cauley-Stein over Myles Turner and Devin Booker. If you just traded DeMarcus Cousins, would you rather have Willie Cauley-Stein or Myles Turner to step into the starting lineup?

2016 – Drafted Marquese Chriss with the 8th pick, traded him to the Suns for Bogdan Bogdanovic (not currently in the NBA), Skal Labissiere (has played in 8 games this year), Georgios Papagiannis (has played in 4 games this year) and a second round pick in 2020.

Good grief. Now I need a drink. That’s just how they’ve drafted over the past several years, we haven’t even gotten into their trades (Rudy Gay!) and free agent signings (Rajon Rondo!). After going through this, it’s hard to have faith that this Cousins trade is going to become fruitful for them in any way, shape or form.

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Meanwhile, back in New Orleans, the drinks are celebratory. Anthony Davis and DeMarcus Cousins!? They’ve got a good point guard in Jrue Holiday, and, well, not a whole lot else. This team is only going to be as good as Davis and Cousins can make them, because frankly, outside of Holiday, the supporting cast is less than inspiring. That being said, when has any team ever had two of the best big men in the league in their prime at the same time? The San Francisco Warriors briefly had Wilt Chamberlain and Nate Thurmond, but traded Chamberlain halfway through Thurmond’s second season. The Houston Rockets had Hakeem Olajuwon and Ralph Sampson, got to the 1986 Finals and looked like the team of the future before the team flamed out amongst Sampson’s unfortunate injuries and rampant drug use. Sampson was eventually traded. The Spurs had Tim Duncan and David Robinson, but Robinson was entering his twilight years. This has the chance to be something we’ve never really seen before, assuming it all works out.

Whether or not it all works out is a pretty big question. First of all, Cousins is a free agent after next season, and the Pelicans will have to convince him to stick around. The supporting cast in New Orleans isn’t exactly top-notch, and this trade has thinned it out. Cousins is notoriously grouchy and for all of his talent, he gets himself into more trouble than he needs to by racking up technical fouls, so much so that each one he gets for the rest of the season will result in a suspension. Lastly, and more importantly, how will Davis and Cousins fit with one another? Two immense talents who have toiled away on fairly lousy teams their whole careers, both used to being the top dog on their team. I wouldn’t go handing them the 8th seed in the West just yet. They’ve got the Blazers, Kings (not for long) and Nuggets to leap frog. I am, however, incredibly excited to see what they can do together, and if the Pelicans can sign some helpful role players in the offseason, we could really see something special. We should all be excited for the future. Well, unless you’re a Kings fan, of course. Hang in there, guys.

2016-17 Eastern Conference Preview

It’s more than just the Cavaliers.

Yesterday, we ran through the Western Conference, where the Warriors are primed to run away with the top seed. While the gap between the top team in the East and their closest competitors might be smaller, nobody’s really doubting that LeBron James, Kyrie Irving and the Cleveland Cavaliers are going to find themselves on top of the Eastern Conference pile and go right on to the Finals for a third straight battle with the Warriors. There’s fourteen other Eastern teams, however, and one or two of them might even have a shot to nip at the Cavs heels, so let’s count them down, from who we think is worst, to who we think is first, as we continue to attempt to find reasons to be excited about the teams outside of Oakland and Cleveland.

15. Brooklyn Nets (17-65)

Without any promising young talent (former number one overall draft pick Anthony Bennett doesn’t count) or the promise of a high draft pick (the Celtics can swap picks with them this year, and own the Nets 2018 first rounder), things in Brooklyn are going to be pretty depressing. At least the Lakers and Sixers have young star power, the Nets have Brook Lopez, Jeremy Lin and Luis Scola as their premiere players. The only semblance of hope is a smart new GM in Sean Marks, and a well respected new head coach, Kenny Atkinson. With these guys running the show, in four or five years, they could be like the Sixers and Lakers, still terrible, but with actual excitement for the future. Until then, well, we all saw what’s been going on in Philadelphia these last couple of seasons, and they at least owned their draft picks.

Reasons for excitement: If you’re a Celtics fan, you’re definitely excited about that draft pick swap.

14. Philadelphia 76ers (25-57)

Even at a lousy 25 wins, that’d still be a 15 game improvement over last season. There’s finally what appears to be a good young nucleus in Philly. Of course, the basketball gods are still angry at what they’ve been doing over the past few years, so they struck down first overall pick Ben Simmons with a Jones Fracture. Nevertheless, Joel Embiid is finally ready to make his debut, and he’s looked damn good in (limited) preseason action. Dario Saric’s also in town, coming over from Europe two years after the Sixers drafted him. There’s even some real NBA veterans on this roster, ones that will help these guys win an extra game or two. I’m talking about Gerald Henderson and Jerryd Bayless who bring tales of the Playoffs to the rest of the young roster. They’re getting pretty crowded up front, with Embiid, Jahill Okafor and Nerlens Noel, so expect one of these guys (probably Noel) to get traded.

Reasons for excitement: Not having to worry about this team’s win totals being in the single digits. Things should start to get legitimately interesting once Ben Simmons is available to play, hopefully in January.

13. Miami Heat (32-50)

Holy hell. The Heat will be back in pretty unfamiliar territory after a fairly disastrous offseason in which franchise icon Dwyane Wade left for Chicago. On top of that, Chris Bosh’s lingering issues with blood clots is going to keep him out all season long, and Luol Deng & Joe Johnson also left town. Now, a team that was one win away from the Conference Finals is facing a steep slide down the standings. Hassan Whiteside and Goran Dragic still make for a solid duo, but the rest of the squad is a pretty motley crew.

Reasons for excitement: The inevitable free agent pursuit of Blake Griffin next summer.

12. Milwaukee Bucks (34-48)

Honestly, there might not be much separation between the 12th seed in the East and the 5th seed. Depending on the breaks, any of these teams could leapfrog one another, or freefall down towards the dregs of the conference. Things were kind of looking up for the Bucks, but then leading scorer Khris Middleton suffered a torn hamstring, and will miss the season. They’re still going to be an interesting ball club, especially with 6’11” Giannis Antetokounmpo acting as the point forward. “The Greek Freak” will provide opponents with some serious matchup problems, and the team seems constructed to be a pain in the ass to have to play against, with only one player on the roster under 6’4″ (three point bomber Jason Terry). They’ll be scrappy, and they’ll always play hard, but I’m not quite sure if I trust them to be a Playoff contender quite yet. The loss of Middleton is a damn shame for one of the most potentially interesting teams in the league.

Reasons for excitement: A 6’11” point forward nicknamed “The Greek Freak”? What’s not to like? Jabari Parker’s another young player on the rise, and guys like Matthew Dellavedova will irritate the hell out of opposing teams. Michael Beasley is also going to be involved, and he always provides some much needed comic relief throughout the long NBA season.

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11. Orlando Magic (37-45)

It’s easy to forget that at one point last season, these guys were 19-13. Then they all remembered they hated coach Scott Skiles, and everything went down the toilet. Now, they’ve got a proven new coach in Frank Vogel, and like Milwaukee, they’ve got an interesting and athletic roster. They should especially be able to wreak some havoc defensively, where they’ve added the likes of Bismack Biyombo and Serge Ibaka. They’re one player away from being an intriguing Playoff team, but in the meantime, a solid foundation is forming in Orlando.

Reasons for excitement: The emotional roller coaster of rooting for Jeff Green. He’ll spring for 37 points one night, then be barely heard from for the next two weeks, before exploding for another 35 points or so, reminding you why you talked yourself into being excited about him in the first place before following that up with a 4 point, 2-7 shooting performance in the next game. I’m a Celtics fan. I know what this is like.

10. Charlotte Hornets (39-43)

You know, I’m sitting here trying to decide where to put some of these teams, and I’m looking at the Hornets roster, and I feel like they might have gotten worse. Gone are Al Jefferson, Jeremy Lin and Courtney Lee, all important contributors to last season’s 48 win squad. Replacing them are the obsolete Roy Hibbert, Marco Bellinelli and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, back from an injury that limited him to just seven games last season. The Knicks got better, the Wizards should be better, the Pacers are definitely better, the Bulls might even be better, and the Bucks and Magic aren’t far behind them. The one saving grace is that they have a great coach in Steve Clifford, and they’ll always play hard on defense. They could finish anywhere between 5th and 11th and it wouldn’t surprise me. The East is hard.

Reasons for excitement: Kemba Walker took a big step forward last season, and should continue to improve into one of the best guards in the East.

9. New York Knicks (40-42)

I just don’t trust these guys. They look so good on paper: Joakim Noah, Kristaps Porzingas, Carmelo Anthony, Courtney Lee and Derrick Rose is a starting five that you’d think would be able to go up against anyone else in the league. However, Noah’s declined sharply since he was 4th in MVP voting in 2014, and we all know Derrick Rose hasn’t been close to the same since his catastrophic injury in the 2012 Playoffs, and now, Knicks doctors are concerned about his stress after a tumultuous offseason that included a civil trial in which he was acquitted of rape. Behind them and the rest of the starting five, there isn’t a whole heck of a lot of depth, which is dangerous for a team as potentially injury prone as this. This being New York and all, expectations are exceptionally high, and this being the Knicks, I have a feeling they’re going to barely miss the Playoffs, angering everybody. At least they won’t be boring.

Reasons for excitement: Derrick Rose isn’t the only point guard on this team looking to come all the way back from some bad injuries. Brandon Jennings will be backing him up. He’s always played with a lot of fire and swagger, and he’s already been embraced by the New York fans. He’ll be a fan favorite at Madison Square Garden, and should be good for a handful of technical fouls and minor scuffles with opponents throughout the season.

8. Atlanta Hawks (41-41)

If the Knicks aren’t making it to the Playoffs, it should be enough to keep the Hawks in, which will prolong their streak up to nine straight Playoff appearances, the longest such streak in the East. After reaching 60 wins two seasons ago, and earning the admiration of basketball geeks everywhere, I think they’ll find themselves back down here, fighting for their Playoff lives because Dwight Howard ruins everything. This offseason also saw the departures of Al Horford and Jeff Teague, arguably their two most important players as far as running the show is concerned. Howard replaces Horford, coming over after his disappointing stay in Houston. Say what you will about Dwight Howard, and I certainly will from time to time, he’s still a guaranteed double-double every night, and perhaps his escape from Houston to his hometown of Atlanta will revitalize his career a little bit. Replacing Jeff Teague will be former backup point guard Dennis Schroder, who was handed the keys after an impressive postseason. He can be a little erratic, but that’s what makes him such an enticing choice to run the team. Holdovers Kyle Korver, Kent Bazemore and the eternally underrated Paul Millsap will maintain a semblance of the Hawks we’ve gotten to know over the last couple of years, and maybe that’ll be enough to keep them out of such a precarious spot in the conference. Then again, Dwight Howard ruins everything.

Reasons for excitement: It could be a pretty exciting race the final few spots in the Playoffs here in the Eastern Conference. If they do end up finishing eighth, they can look forward to being swept by the Cavs for the third season in a row. An unleashed Schroder will also be interesting to see. He’s one of the feistier point guards in the league.

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“Dwight, tell us how you’ve ruined everything…”

7. Washington Wizards (44-38)

A team with a backcourt of John Wall and Bradley Beal should be at least this good, right? Then again, so should a team with a starting five like the Knicks, so who really knows? That being said, if John Wall is as good as we think he is (and he’s at least that good), and if Bradley Beal can just fucking stay healthy, there’s no reason to think the Wizards won’t be back in the Playoffs. They’ve got a solid group supporting them, with Marcin Gortat, Markieff Morris and the improving Otto Porter rounding out the starting five. You could do a heck of a lot worse!

Reasons for excitement: The thought of fully healthy seasons from Beal and Wall. As we pray to the Basketball Gods for Anthony Davis’ health, let’s say a prayer or two for Beal’s as well. Be merciful, Basketball Gods.

6. Detroit Pistons (46-36)

They could have made it even higher, but starting point guard Reggie Jackson is out for 6-8 weeks to begin the year. That being said, Ish Smith will be filling in, and he’s a decent replacement to hold them over (he averaged 14.7 points and 7.0 assists in 50 games with the Sixers last year). In a league where dominating big men are becoming fewer and further between, they’ve got one of the best in Andre Drummond. Coach/President Stan Van Gundy has done a great job building a roster that suits his style and approach to the game, and he’s the kind of coach that will keep these guys on an upward trend.

Reasons for excitement: They played the Cavs tough in the First Round of last year’s Playoffs, and the thought of a potential Cleveland/Detroit Central Division rivalry makes me excited for some reason.

5. Chicago Bulls (48-34)

I talked myself into the Chicago Bulls. I know it’s like they’ve gone out of their way to assemble the worst group of perimeter shooters they could find (Rajon Rondo, Dwyane Wade, Jimmy Butler and Michael Carter-Williams). Wade showed in last year’s Playoffs that he can still ball, and come up with clutch shots. Butler’s a boss, Michael Carter-Williams could be a versatile sixth man, and maybe Rajon Rondo will start caring again. Their front court will play hard and crash the boards, and contrary to popular belief, they do have one or two capable long range shooters, and it’s going to be a pain in the ass to play against them. I’d feel a lot better about this prediction if they had a better coach than Fred Hoiberg, but I do feel like they’re going to be better than expected.

Reasons for excitement: Rajon Rondo’s stat-padding triple-doubles.

4. Indiana Pacers (50-32)

Outside of Cleveland, the Pacers might have the East’s best individual superstar (including ‘Melo) in Paul George, and in this conference, that alone could be enough to get you 50 wins. That’s not all, though. They had a productive offseason that netted them Jeff Teague and Thaddeus Young in an effort to build a faster roster. They also added Al Jefferson to come off the bench and punish second units with his throwback moves around the hoop. Youngster Myles Turner has already been anointed as one of the league’s best young big men, so don’t let us down, Myles.

Reasons for excitement: I have to say, the Pacers are one of the more interesting teams in my opinion. If they succeed, Paul George could emerge as a serious MVP candidate.

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3. Toronto Raptors (53-29)

The Raptors, led by Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan, one of the league’s best backcourts, are coming off their most successful season, and there’s no reason to think that they’ll be fighting for one of the top spots in the East once again this year. The loss of Bismack Biyombo could hurt a bit, but starter Jonas Valanciunas has proven that he can put up some big performances, and should get more minutes this year (he’s never averaged more than 28.2 in a season). They’re still a little thin up front, not helped by newcomer Jared Sullinger’s recent injury that will keep him out for awhile. However, they should get a healthy season from DeMarre Carroll after he appeared in just 26 games last year. They’ve proved that they’re one of the best teams in the conference, and if it wasn’t from some increased competition from our next team, they’d be a lock for the second seed.

Reasons for excitement: Drake sightings.

2. Boston Celtics (54-28)

The addition of Al Horford should be enough to push the C’s to the upper echelon of the conference. This is a team that already played well together, and Horford is the perfect big man to fit in with their style of play. There’s going to be a lot of ball movement with these guys. They’ve got a versatile roster, and they play harder than just about any other team in the league. They’ve also got one of the best coaches, and he’s kept getting them better and better ever since taking over in the unenviable position of having to lead them into the post-Paul Pierce/Kevin Garnett era. Now he’s got them on the cusp of the start of a new, successful era in Celtics history.

Reasons for excitement: Being a Celtics fan myself, I should probably be disqualified from writing this section, but, this is my blog, and I make the rules. This is going to be one of the most fun to watch, hard playing teams in the league this year, and out of all of these guys, they’ve got the best chance to make things hard in the Playoffs on the…

1. Cleveland Cavaliers (56-26)

Sure, they most coast through the regular season, but they’ll do enough to ensure that they get home court advantage throughout the Eastern Playoffs. It’s pretty clear that LeBron James is still the best and baddest mother fucker in the league. How many different ways does he have to prove it? Kyrie Irving’s not too shabby either, and he’s shown that he has the clutch gene, hitting a lot of big shots in the Playoffs, including the final dagger in Game 7 of the Finals. If there’s one concern with these guys, it’s depth. They’re one injury to Kyrie Irving or LeBron James away from being catchable in the standings, especially if LeBron gets hurt. Their supporting cast isn’t exactly a murderer’s row, and they aren’t exactly a young squad. I’m not saying something bad will happen, and I’m not saying I want something bad to happen, but what I am saying is, out of all of the contenders, their status at the top is the most precarious.

Reasons for excitement: They have LeBron James and Kyrie Irving on the team, and as much as we’ve all resigned ourselves to Cavs/Warriors III, would it really be that bad? It’d be the first time two teams had faced each other in the Finals three years in a row, and with them splitting the first two, it would be pretty awesome to see which one of them could gain the upper hand in their head to head battle.

It’d also be awesome if one of these other teams we’ve previewed snuck into the Finals. Either way, as fans, we’re the winners (unless you’re a Nets fan, of course), because our beloved NBA returns tonight, and it’s going to be a goddamn awesome season. That’s one prediction I think we can be completely confident in. Now let’s get started…